The first Bledisloe Cup test match will be played this Sunday at Wellington’s Sky Stadium with the All Blacks the odds-on favourite at every major betting site.
Not all bookies have opened their betting markets for this weekend’s test match but for those that have the Wallabies aren’t even given a look in.
Perhaps even more telling are the handicap odds, which reflect how much each betting site thinks the All Blacks will win by.
The All Blacks are as likely to win as the Wallabies are only when a +/-15.5 handicap is applied, according to both the TAB NZ and 888sport.
There are a number of reasons why betting sites are favouring New Zealand, and that number is a big one, but for one thing the Wallabies haven’t won a test match in New Zealand since 2001 when they beat New Zealand 23-15.
The 44-man Wallabies squad, that is currently spending two weeks in controlled quarantine in Christchurch, also features 16 potential debutants, which doesn’t bode well against the All Blacks’ more experienced side.
While you’ll be hard-pressed to find anybody predicting an upset, it doesn’t help the Wallabies chances that prop James Slipper admitted to the Sydney Morning Herald last weekend that the Australian team “do not have a leg to stand on” when it comes to their Bledisloe Cup history.
“We probably deserve to be underdogs. We haven’t won it for so long. And deservedly so.”
Sunday afternoon’s match is going to be one of only two chances for Kiwis to watch the AB’s in New Zealand this year so the Australian side shouldn’t expect any forgiveness from the crowd either.
Despite all of this, there are a few reasons why a Wallabies victory, paying as high as 6.40, might not be a bad bet after all.
For one thing, Australia showed New Zealand what they are capable of the last time they met, upsetting the Kiwis 47-26 in Perth.
Another thing that might benefit the Aussies is that neither team has played an international match this year, in fact, neither squad has had the chance to make amends with a win since their disappointing 2019 Rugby World Cup campaigns.
Bookmakers may be favouring the New Zealand side but the All Blacks aren’t taking any chances.
“I can imagine them [the Wallabies] being in quarantine for two weeks will have them raring to go. They’ll be fizzed up, so it’ll be good,” All Black’s hooker Dane Coles told stuff.co.nz.